According to the latest update from NASA, that out of control satellite we've had our eye on will almost certainly make its reentry tonight, and NASA has a guess as to where it's going to land. Update after the jump.
NASA's best guess (and they're updating this continuously as they get more data) is that the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite will de-orbit and crash to Earth between 11 p.m. Friday, Sept. 23, and 3 a.m., Sept. 24, Eastern Daylight Time. While most of the satellite will burn up in the atmosphere, about 1,200 pounds (including one 300-pound chunk) will probably make it through.
If the UARS satellite reenters when NASA thinks it does, its orbit during that time window will put it over Canada, Africa, Australia, and the Pacific, Atlantic and Indian oceans. The yellow lines in the image below show where UARS will be during this time, and it could reenter (raining pieces over a 500 mile area) along any part of those yellow lines:
This is about as good as it can possibly get, unless you were looking forward to a satellite landing in your back yard like I was, and NASA has rated the risk to public safety as "very remote." You can find frequent updates at the link below, as well as on the UARS_Reentry Twitter feed, here.
UPDATE: Looks like the eagle has landed. NASA posted this update:
NASA's decommissioned Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite fell back to Earth between 11:23 p.m. EDT Friday, Sept. 23 and 1:09 a.m. EDT Sept. 24. The Joint Space Operations Center at Vandenberg Air Force Base in California said the satellite entered the atmosphere over the North Pacific Ocean, off the west coast of the United States. The precise re-entry time and location of any debris impacts are still being determined. NASA is not aware of any reports of injury or property damage.